Monday, February 25, 2008

Housing Stocks Looking Up, Very Good Sign

As we in the Lowcountry read this it is significant to bear in mind that our markets have avoided the wilder fluctuations in much of the rest of the country, so as the wider market is coming out of its downward trend our markets can be expected to be stronger, faster. More evidence of why I always say that here and now more than ever reasonable real estate is always a good investment!

"Investors who bought housing stocks at the beginning of the year after two and a half years of steep declines are being rewarded for their prescience.

As the Federal Reserve started cutting interest rates, the stocks of home builders Toll Brothers, Lennar, and Hovnanian rose 40 percent, 52 percent, and 96 percent respectively. Some analysts believe these increases portend sunnier days ahead for the entire housing industry.

'What took us into this malaise will be what takes us out,' Bill Miller, portfolio manager for the Legg Mason Value Trust, wrote this week in a letter to the fund's shareholders. 'Housing stocks peaked in the summer of 2005 and were the first group to start down. Now housing stocks are one of the few areas in the market that are up for the year.'

'Stocks are predictive of the industry about six to nine months ahead of time,' adds Justin Walters of Bespoke Investment Group in Harrison, N.Y. He says he is bullish on the sector, noting that house-price futures at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange have been forecasting a bottom in house prices in many U.S. markets toward the end of 2008.

Source: Fortune, Colin Barr (02/14/08)"

To read this article in Realtor Magazine Online: http://www.realtor.org/RMODaily.nsf/pages/News2008021501?OpenDocument

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